Friday, April 16, 2021

Understanding ANOVA Techniques with Excel and Learning to Decipher Variances


BlogDate_4/14/21

Topic: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)

                                                            As I progress through the assignments in this class, I have begun to feel a deep sense of satisfaction and empowerment from the knowledge gained and the skillsets obtained. Up until I began taking this class, there were certain aspects of mathematics (statistics in particular) and relative applications in my professional life with which I was quite familiar but had always felt intimidated by because I was not leveraging the statistical concept along with the application to their full potential. Case in point, Microsoft Excel. I have leveraged the application daily to quantify variances and similarities in exceptionally large data sets for many years, but while I am sufficiently comfortable reading, analyzing, and interpreting, I have always felt frustrated by an inability to manipulate data sets within Excel myself., particularly with regards to Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). This is a tool I could often leverage in my professional life but lack the know-how. Additionally, while I was aware of the immense capabilities the application possessed, I did not have sufficient training and practice to leverage these capabilities in my work/home life. However, that completely changed for me after completing the Excel Data Analysis Tool Pak assignment. Looking over the assignment at first, I was apprehensive, but after installing the Tool Pak and running through the Laundry list of analysis tasks, I was elated; not only with being able to perform all the ANOVA functions within the data tool set, but with the understanding of how each functioned operated and WHY it was important to the data in question. For example, I never really understood the difference between a t-test, which observes the sample mean and ANOVA, which examines the variance (FordHamStats, 2010). Additionally, I could not explain the significance of each ANOVA function and its interpretation of the data at hand. I think the most valuable capability Excel retains is the ability to produce both Descriptive and Inferential statistical data. Armed with my newly acquired knowledge and confidence, I considered satellites (a subject of keen interest to me) and the host of data accompanying them. After some research, I was able to download a data sheet of all satellites by country via the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) webpage. The file was quite large, as there was a host of data available, from owner/operator, to apogee, longitude, perigee, inclination, class of orbit, orbit type, etc. I must confess, I have never been so excited about observing and manipulating data, but it was meaningful. Consider that there are well over 3,000 satellites in 4 different orbital classes spotted about the globe right now (UCS, 2021). What are they doing? What is the function of each? Which countries have the most? Is the number of satellites per country skewed, or proportional? The questions were endless for me. The real difference-maker was the knowledge and ability to perform the functions which could answer these questions. So, with that, I began experimenting with different functions, taking my time to understand what the variability between the different factors indicated. The spreadsheet proved to be an enjoyable wormhole of data, and I have included it with this post. In retrospect, the concepts, and skills I have acquired in the past couple weeks relate to the job duties I perform daily, and that is exciting for me. With regards to the text material, I think 9.6.1, Simple Linear Regression Analysis tied in with the ANOVA concepts I learned rather nicely because the scatter plots offer such a quick visual medium for assessing variability within large data sets like the UCS Satellite data (Khisty et al., 2012). As I continue forward in this class, I am just trying to focus on one module at a time, absorbing quality data and pondering its significance in my life.

 

 

 

 

Perigee (km)

3372

24543339

7278.570285

178534742.6

Apogee (km)

3372

27894247

8272.315243

304840208.3

Variance of Satellite by Type of Orbit, Longitude, Apogee, Perigee,

ANOVA

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F crit

Rows

1.42838E+12

3371

423725880.4

7.103645997

0

1.058305

Columns

1664973966

1

1664973966

27.91282334

1.3496E-07

3.844219

Error

2.01077E+11

3371

59649070.44

Total

1.63112E+12

6743

 

 

 

 

(UCS, 2021)

Anova: Single Factor

SUMMARY

Groups

Count

Sum

Average

Variance

# Launched

34

3372

99.17647059

47164.27094

USA

34

1903

55.97058824

27950.57487

China

20

405

20.25

541.7763158

Russia

34

174

5.117647059

43.98573975

United Kingdom

20

166

8.3

530.6421053

France

34

13

0.382352941

0.667557932

Spain

14

21

1.5

1.653846154

Germany

34

40

1.176470588

4.331550802

Japan

34

89

2.617647059

14.84937611

Italy

34

13

0.382352941

0.546345811

Argentina

34

28

0.823529412

6.08912656

Israel

34

16

0.470588235

0.983957219

ANOVA

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F crit

Between Groups

343596.6676

11

31236.0607

4.34537363

4.19E-06

1.816209

Within Groups

2501545.332

348

7188.348656

Total

2845142

359

 

 

 

 

(UCS, 2021)

 

Anova: Two-Factor With Replication

SUMMARY

179

215

1634

Total

2

 

 

 

 

Count

11

11

11

33

Sum

491

393

3028

3912

Average

44.6364

35.72727

275.2727

118.5455

Variance

9693.65

8061.618

472623.8

165922.6

Total

 

 

Count

11

11

11

Sum

491

393

3028

Average

44.6364

35.72727

275.2727

Variance

9693.65

8061.618

472623.8

(UCS, 2021)

ANOVA

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F crit

Sample

0

0

65535

65535

#NUM!

#NUM!

Columns

405733

2

202866.6

1.24108

0.303491

3.31583

Interaction

0

0

65535

65535

#NUM!

#NUM!

Within

4903791

30

163459.7

Total

5309524

32

 

 

 

 

(UCS, 2021)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anova: Two-Factor Without Replication

Descriptive Data

SUMMARY

Count

Sum

Average

Variance

USA

4

2058

514.5

563427

China

4

405

101.25

19525.58

Russia

4

174

43.5

1619.667

UK

4

293

73.25

3852.25

France

4

20

5

22

Spain

4

21

5.25

36.91667

Germany

4

40

10

349.3333

Italy

4

13

3.25

27.58333

Japan

4

82

20.5

620.3333

Argentina

4

28

7

161.3333

Israel

4

16

4

38

Total

4

3150

787.5

1063326

Elliptical

12

360

30

3528.909

GEO

12

670

55.83333

10316.88

MEO

12

608

50.66667

10006.97

LEO

12

4662

388.5

583503

(UCS, 2021)

ANOVA

Inferential Data

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F crit

Rows

2785222

11

253202

2.144848

0.04469

2.093254

Columns

1063326

3

354441.9

3.002441

0.04437

2.891564

Error

3895691

33

118051.3

Total

7744239

47

 

 

 

 

(UCS, 2021)

 

 

 

 

 

FordhamStats. (2010, May 7). Excel Techniques - 11 - ANOVA - Two Factor without Replication [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=STqxo4ToN18

Khisty, C. J., Mohammadi, J., & Amedkudzi, A. A. (2012). Systems engineering with economics, probability, and statistics (2nd ed.). J. Ross Publishing.

Association5(10). https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.116.004142

Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS). (2021, January 1). UCS Satellite Database. UCSUSA.org. https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/satellite-database

 

           

                                                                       

 

 

           

                                                                       

 


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